Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Week 7 Preview

Alright, we're going hardcore this week, more picks than ever before. But first, some random observations about the season and the upcoming games this weekend.
I really didn't believe in Vanderbilt until last week. As I said, Nickson had to limit mistakes for them to win, and after falling behind 13-0, Mackenzi Adams comes in and leads the victory with smart decision-making. Don't expect them to lose to Mississippi St. this weekend, even though the Bulldogs will be a tough road test.

TCU, who's only blemish is to a very good Oklahoma squad on the road, best be careful at Colorado St. this week. Gartrell Jenkins is a very productive TB and HB/FB/TE Kory Sperry is one of the best in the hybrid role.

If it's on anywhere in your area, check out Buffalo vs. Western Michigan because Tim Hiller, Naaman Roosevelt, Drew Willy and Jamarko Simmons should help put a lot of points on the board. This isn't quite Rice/Tulsa offensive potential from last weekend, but I'd put the over under at about 65 or 70. Should be a fun game to watch.

New Mexico St. at Nevada should be interesting because the Aggies can get their season on track and it would be a vital win in their quest for bowl eligibility. If you had asked me before the season, the Aggies would have no chance, but that's before Luke Lippincott decided not to play this year. As good as Colin Kaepernick is in the versatile QB role, Chase Holbrook is maybe even better as a precision passer for the Aggies.

The teams who really need to turn around their seasons and have chances to do it this weekend; Virginia at home against ECU. UCLA on the road at Oregon. Arizona State at USC (yeah right for Sun Devils fans), Arkansas at Auburn and Purdue at Ohio State. I think only the Cavaliers have a good shot at winning their game, they looked impressive last week vs. Maryland. Ok, onto the picks. I'm 14-4 on the season so far, so let's hope that keeps up.

Clemson at #21 Wake Forest- I know I'll probably regret this later because Thursday night games dictate that an upset will happen. However, is it really an upset if Clemson wins? No, not really, they were supposed to be a top 10 team before the season and besides, WF knows how to win these close games. Besides, the Demon Deacons want revenge for last year's 44-10 shellacking. Just remember, that loss against Navy was an aberration, the Demon Deacons may not lose the rest of the year. WF 24 Clemson 20

Minnesota at Illinois- Illini CB Vontae Davis vs. Gophers' WR Eric Decker, now that's an elite matchup. Too bad it won't determine the entire game. Here's what we know; the Illini have had a brutal early schedule, a better running game than Minnesota and more experience in important games. This is where Illinois can make a statement, by proving the Gophers are frauds. Will they? Yes, but it won't be easy from the first whistle, but talent and experience will prevail. Illinois 37 Minnesota 28

South Carolina at Kentucky- Was the Ole Miss defense really that bad last weekend? I mean come on, even Wofford didn't allow the Gamecocks to score 30 points. This is a tough game because the Gamecocks often times have trouble scoring and moving the ball, but looked good last week, while UK was just the opposite last week. Kentucky's good offense looked horrible vs. Alabama and saved itself with a late TD. I'm taking the Gamecocks because I think their offense is finally healthy and they may be ready to play some decent football (I'm nuts for this pick). South Carolina 20 Kentucky 14

#5 Texas vs. #1 Oklahoma- Oh no, can't we delay this game, like, until after the national championship game has been played. The Longhorns don't have much of a shot. The Sooners have a balanced offense, a good defense, and all the intangibles. UT has well, two good WRs and Colt McCoy. The young, but talented UT secondary isn't ready for Iglesias and Johnson on the outside, and if they can somehow contain them, who will stop TE Gresham. Unless McCoy channels his inner Vince Young, this game will be over by the start of the 4th quarter. Oklahoma 42 Texas 27

Nebraska at #7 Texas Tech- Ha! If Nebraska couldn't stop Missouri, why will they do it against Texas Tech? I only mention this game because my nephews and their dad will be at the game, die-hard 'Huskers fans that they are, it's their first game. Too bad it won't be a fun experience. Set low expectations Nebraska fans. Texas Tech 56 Nebraska 33

#23 Michigan St. at Northwestern- Possibly the most intriguing game of the weekend for serious college football fans. Javon Ringer has been a beast, and easily the Heisman candidate getting the least amount of respect (besides BYU QB Max Hall). Can he help the Spartans win at Northwestern, especially with QB Brian Hoyer and WR Mark Dell not living up to their abilities on offense for MSU? I think common sense says the Spartans are more talented, and usually heart and determination only get you so far, but with Wildcats' TB Tyrell Sutton, I think this is a special season. Along with an underrated defense, smart QB CJ Bacher and efficient WRs, the Wildcats pull off the upset. Northwestern 26 Michigan St. 23

Notre Dame at #22 North Carolina- Two teams that had all the potential to be surprise picks in their own right, going from young squads that lost a lot of close games to serious bowl contenders. Jimmy Clausen has been on fire, and people around the country love Golden Tate for the Irish. Me, I love the Tar Heels heart, coming back against Miami (FL) and just obliterating UConn last week (who was always overrated by the way) after losing their starting QB. Plus, ND is not on NBC this week, so that spells doom for the Irish. UNC 31 Notre Dame 28

#6 Penn St. at Wisconsin- I'll go with the easy pick of the night games first. The Nittany Lions will not give up an undefeated season in Madison just because the Badgers have an incredible home record in Big 10 play recently. Besides, the Badgers choked away a win against a true freshman QB last weekend (albeit Terrelle Pryor, no ordinary freshman). Evan Royster will carry the load for PSU and QB Daryll Clark will spread the ball around to his bevy of weapons at WR and TE. Clark is averaging 9.0 yards per attempt, in a non-passing offense, that's crazy. Michael Robinson anyone? Penn St. 34 Wisconsin 24

#17 Oklahoma St. at #3 Missouri- I can't wait until everyone calls this a statement win for Missouri. No, that will come, if it happens, against either Texas or Kansas during the season, and the Big XII South winner in the championship game (I'll go out on a limb and say that will be Oklahoma). Chase Daniel will go off, which sucks because I play him in fantasy this week, while Zac Robinson finds out what life is like playing catch-up and your favorite WR, Dez Bryant, can't get open because 6 and 7 DBs are out on the field. Missouri 62 Oklahoma St. 38

#4 LSU at #11 Florida- Logic says Florida is pissed after losing to LSU last year in a very close game at Baton Rouge. Logic also states that Florida rarely loses two home games in a season. Also, LSU decided to give the Gators some bulletin board material by saying they wanted to take out Tim Tebow. I think the main question here is whether or not the Tigers can stop the Gators explosive weapons on offense; Percy Harvin is a blur when he's in the open field and Chris Rainey can take it the distance any time, while the RB spot has more options than any time in recent memory for the Gators. However, the Tigers have tons of experience, albeit not at QB. Then again, Jarrett Lee learned on the road at Auburn and came away big in the clutch. Will he do it a 2nd time this season? Logic says no, but I disagree. LSU 29 Florida 27

Ok, enjoy the games. Go Vols against UGa, even though they won't win. Also, go San Jose St., which should be easy against Utah St. Also, EMU at Army may be a guilty pleasure game for me this weekend; a game I shouldn't be watching, neither have good bowl hopes, but they are two offenses coming together and I think it will be a fun game. ESPN Classic, 1:00 EST. tune in. Eagles' TB Terrence Blevins is a future NFL player in my book. He may be on a bad team but he can make broken plays, or plays blown up in the backfield into positive yardage and even TDs. See all of you next week.

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