Saturday, June 27, 2009

Top 30 Fantasy QB

Ok, since fantasy college football was arguably one of the greatest things ever last season, I am yet again joining a few leagues (God knows how many). Anyways, to help me grasp who I should be drafting and so I can have a nifty cheat-sheet, I'm doing a top listing of the most important positions. Let's start with the most important one of all, quarterback. It's important to remember that this list isn't about who is the most talented QB in the country, but who will put up the best numbers based on returning starters that will help him and difficulty of schedule.

1. Case Keenum, Houston- Considering the conference and how many weapons he has returning, Keenum should easily top 5,000 total yards this season. His only really tough games should be at Mississippi St., Oklahoma St. and home games with Texas Tech and Southern Miss. BYEs: Sep. 19
2. Colt McCoy, Texas- With Jordan Shipley and plenty of good returning receivers, McCoy should again throw for plenty of yards and TDs. Also, with no proven RB, he will run for good numbers yet again. The schedule is pretty easy. BYEs: Oct. 3
3. Tim Tebow, Florida- Tebow's running numbers may be down with plenty of good RBs surrounding him, but he has good, speedy WRs and a fantastic TE. A road game with LSU will be tough, but the non-conference is easy. BYEs: Oct. 3
4. Sam Bradford, Oklahoma- It will almost be impossible for him to match last season's stats. but with Ryan Broyles and TE Gresham back, he should be good once again. BYU and at Miami should be tough, but he'll pull through. BYE: Sep. 26
5. Taylor Potts, Texas Tech- Ok he hasn't proven himself yet, but the TT QB almost always puts up 4,000 yards and plenty of TDs. OK, OK St. and TX will be tough, but the non-conference is relatively easy. Has good WRs to help him out. BYE: Nov. 7
6. Zac Robinson, Oklahoma St.- Thanks to WR Dez Bryant and a good cast of RBs around him, Robinson will be quite prolific yet again. He loses a great TE, but his rushing numbers should help make up for it. UGA is the only tough non-conf D. BYE: Oct. 3
7. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada- This is the real sleeper of the draft. His outstanding rushing/passing numbers should go well beyond 3,500 yards. Notre Dame and Missouri are the only real defensive tests beside Boise St. of course. BYE: Sept. 12
8. Dan LeFevour, Central Michigan- With most of his fantastic receiving corps returning, Lefevour should throw for well beyond 3,000 yards and have his good usual running numbers. He plays Arizona, Michigan St. and BC which should be tough defensive tests. BYE: Nov. 7
9. Juice Williams, Illinois- Yet another hidden gem in the draft. Williams has established he can throw for plenty of yards and his lots of weapons around him, but needs to cut down on his INTs. Penn St., Ohio St. and Missouri should be challenges, but with his running ability, he'll be ok. BYE: Sep. 19 and Nov. 21
10. Todd Reesing, Kansas- Reesing is a fantastic passer who should have incredible numbers for the third straight season with almost all of his weapons back. 4,000 yards is within reach and he can run for good numbers as well. Southern Miss, Oklahoma and at Texas will be tough but he will still be a great pick anywhere. BYE: Oct. 3
11. Robert Griffin, Baylor- This is a real risk here and he has plenty of good WRs, but he is in a very tough conference. If he can improve his passing numbers and keep the rushing numbers the same, he will be a steal. BYE: Sep. 12
12. Jevan Snead, Ole Miss- Snead should throw for plenty of yards with most of his WRs returning and a good set of RBs supporting him. He also can run, but hasn't been asked to a lot. Alabama, LSU and Auburn will be tough defensive tests. BYE: Sep. 12
13. Jeremiah Masoli, Oregon- Considering how much CBS sports gives out for rushing stats and TDs, Masoli is a player with incredible value. He should get 700 yards at least, if not a 1,000 and will have plenty of TDs running/passing. USC, UCLA and Boise St. will be tough and Utah is not as daunting as last year. BYE: Oct. 17, Nov. 28
14. Trevor Vittatoe, UTEP- Thanks to an outstanding receiving duo in Kris Adams and Jeff Moturi, this player should have incredible stats yet again. Kansas and at Texas are the only real tough tests since C-USA West is not defensive driven. BYE: Oct. 17
15. Bo Levi Mitchell, SMU- (NOTE, Big Risk) I think Mitchell will have plenty of yards, but will his TD-to-INT ratio improve enough to be worth the gamble? Has two incredible receivers in Aldrick Robinson and Emmanuel Sanders. TCU and East Carolina will be tough tests, especially back-to-back. BYE: Sep. 26
16. Kellen Moore, Boise St.- Austin Pettis is a great receiver and with no feature RB to hog up the yards, Moore should be in for a big season. Oregon will be a tough test but the other games should be relatively easy. BYE: Oct. 10
17. Tim Hiller, Western Michigan- He has to play at Michigan and Michigan St., but a road trip to Indiana may not be a fantasy disaster. Juan Nunez is a great go-to WR and his RBs can receive quite well so he will be productive yet again. BYE: Nov. 28
18. Adam Weber, Minnesota- With Eric Decker a potential All-American and newcomer Hayo Carpenter's blistering speed, Weber will surpass 3,000 yards easy and probably get 20-25 TDs. Syracuse, Air Force and Cal aren't very intimidating non-conference foes. BYE: Nov. 28
19. Jacob Bower, Tulsa- He will not put up the numbers David Johnson did in '08, but with Charles Clay (FB), Demaris Johnson, Slick Shelley and Trae Johnson, he could have incredible numbers. It depends on how much the running game produces and how many TDs that takes away. Oklahoma and Boise St. will be tough, but nothing else really, Southern Miss maybe. BYE: Oct. 10
20. Jerrod Johnson, Texas A&M- Johnson has an underrated group of WRs and TE Jamie McCoy to work with, so his numbers should only increase immensely. His non-conference schedule is a dream and Iowa St., Colorado and Kansas St. is easy for Big 12 north. BYE: Sep. 12
21. Russell Wilson, N.C. State- There are no standout WRs to throw to and he could have the Colt McCoy "sophomore slump" syndrome, so beware. South Carolina and Pitt will be tough out of conference and all the in-conference road games are brutal. BYE: Oct. 24
22. USC QB- It's just a fact, they always do well and whoever steps in this season will have an incredible supporting cast.
23. Matt Scott, Arizona- (Another BIG Risk) Scott doesn't have any experience, but the receivers are fantastic, as is TE Rob Gronkowski. There's a tricky game at Iowa early in the season and road games to Cal and USC will not be easy for a new starter. BYE: Oct. 3 and 31
24. Tony Pike, Cincinnati- I don't like him facing Oregon St., Fresno St. or Illinois out of conference, but he should be involved in a lot of shootouts with no defense to support him. He does have some great WRs to bail him out though. Oct. 10 and Nov. 21
25. Ryan Lindley, San Diego St.- UCLA and Utah may be some tough games, but most of the tougher conference foes are at home so Lindley should be great with more experience. Almost all of his WRs are back and the non-conference is pitiful, so I expect a lot here. BYE: Oct. 10
26. Ryan Mallett, Arkansas- (Huge Risk) He gets every WR and outstanding TE DJ Williams back so if he grasps the offense quickly, the Hogs will be explosive. Road games at Florida, Alabama, and LSU will not be easy, but he should produce against everybody else. BYE: Sep. 12
27. Austin Davis, Southern Miss- Assuming DeAndre Brown is recovered from his horrific injury, Davis should be a fine dual-threat player, assuming he gets the same amount of TDs on the ground in 2009 he got in '08. Road games to Kansas and a home date with Virginia won't be pushovers, and he does play in a decent division, but he will only improve as he gets more reps. BYE: Nov. 7
28. Joe Webb, UAB- This is another slightly risky pick, but on the bright side, he's almost all the Blazers have. It will be tough to match last year's 1,000 yard rushing effort, but with all his WRs back, including the explosive Frantrell Forrest, he should soar as a senior. BYE: Oct. 10
29. Greg Alexander, Hawaii- The Warriors always produce good numbers through the air, and with Alexander finally having the job to himself, he should be more confident and put up big numbers. Having Greg Salas, Malcolm Lane, Daniel Lofton and others returning doesn't hurt matters either. BYE: Sep. 26
30. Rusty Smith, Florida Atlantic- With almost all of his WRs back, including big-play TE Jason Harmon who missed 2008, Smith will again top 3,000 yards and maybe surpass 25-30 TDs. He has Nebraska and South Carolina, which won't be easy games or produce big numbers, but the rest of the schedule isn't very challenging defensively. Beware, sometimes CBS doesn't count Sun Belt games stats, it all depends. BYE: Sep 12 and Oct. 10
Honorable Mention: Riley Dodge, North Texas, Andy Schmitt, Eastern Michigan, Tyler Sheehan, Bowling Green, Casey Clausen, Notre Dame, Arkelon Hall, Memphis, Matt Grothe, USF

On a lighter note, beware of taking any Big Ten QBs not noted in the above list. Darryl Clark and Terrelle Pryor are good enough players, even Mike Kafka has potential at Northwestern, but really, the offenses have stayed ground-oriented for the most part even up until today. The SEC is also dangerous because of the outstanding defense that is played by each team week in, week out. The Sun Belt has potential for some QBs, but often-times CBS sports doesn't count a few of their games each season. Also, if your guy plays Tuesday or Wednesday, the game won't count either. Good luck.

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